On the Record: Week 12 picks

On the Record: Week 12 picks

Before we get started this week Ian and Cameron would like to wish everyone a happy Thanksgiving! Make sure you take some time this week to spend time with your friends and family. We would also like to thank the soldiers and first-responders who cannot be home with their families this weekend. We are truly grateful for everything you do! Thank you!

Week 11 was quite the roller coaster ride. The Cowboys are now the favorites to win the NFC East, the Rams out-ran the Chiefs, and the Bears defeated divisional rival Minnesota on prime-time. This past week was a not one we will soon forget. Welcome back for another segment of “On the Record” with Ian and Cameron! Our Game Changer Sports Network football experts Ian and Cameron against the top sports broadcasters in an NFL pick-ems competition.  Let’s see how the NFL “experts” from around the league did last week:

Dave Richard CBS: 7-6 ; 107-52-2
Mike Clay ESPN: 9-4 ; 105-54-2
Elliot Harrison NFL: 9-4 ; 109-50-2
Nathan Jahnke PFF:  9-4 ; 107-52-2

Last week Cameron went 5-8 making his yearly record to 100-59-2. Ian went 6-7 last week bringing his yearly record to 106-53-2. Last week our experts struggled a little bit, but don’t let that get you down. Ian and Cameron are still within just a few games of the top NFL experts in the league. Since Ian took the W last week, we’ll hear from him first.  Let’s see what our GCSN Experts have to say during this week’s segment of “On the Record”:

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Thanksgiving Games
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
The Bears have one of the most complete teams in the league. Their offense can pile on points and take time off the clock and their defense is able to slow even the best offenses. The Bears defense leads the league in turnovers and defensive touchdowns, allows the 4th fewest points per game, the 3rd fewest yards allowed per game, and is 5th in the league with 32 sacks. The Lions have been going up and down all season, the only constant has been Kerryon Johnson. Johnson has averaged 5.4 yards per attempt and almost 70 yards per game. The Bears will be without starting QB Mitch Trubisky this week due to a shoulder injury. The Lions are hot off a win against the Carolina Panthers, but can that momentum be enough to knock of the Chicago Bears?

My Prediction: My guess is no it will not. The Bears defense is unbelievable and they’re flying high after defeating the Vikings last week. My vote is for Khalil Mack getting the first Thanksgiving turkey leg.

CHI 31 – DET 23

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Well… Last week did not go as planned. Here’s to a perfect week for a rebound! The Bears are coming off an impressive win over the Vikings but will be playing without Mitch Trubisky. Their defense has been, in my opinion, the best in the league. This is very typical of the Bears franchise historically. Tarik Cohen has emerged out of the backfield and is currently in the top 10 runningbacks for receiving yards. For the Lions, Kerryon Johnson has continued to have a successful season, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. These two teams faced off just two weeks ago with a final score of 34-22, but that was with Trubisky under center.

My Prediction: This week, I see a repeat of week 10, even with Chase Daniel at QB for Da Bears. The Bears D is too good. 6 sacks on Stafford. Cohen catches another passing TD, Jordan Howard runs one in, and Khalil Mack is eating a turkey leg post-game.

CHI 27 – DET 20

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
The injury to Alex Smith was gruesome and I hope he can recover fully. Redskins fans are hitting the panic button, but I’m here to tell you to relax. The Redskins have a very talented team and no disrespect to Alex Smith, but he is merely a game manager. Colt McCoy will step in at quarterback and he is more than capable of getting the job done. The Cowboys have finally hit their stride and have won 3 of their last 5. Elliott is the league’s 2nd leading rusher and has averaged 95.3 yards per game which is top of the league. This game is going to rely heavily on the run game. Despite the injury to Alex Smith I expect this to be a close game.

My Prediction: Both teams will rush for a total of 250 yards. Zeke will take the lead as the leagues leading rusher with a 150-yard game. Zeke will be the one eating the turkey leg after this game.

DAL 27 – WAS 20

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
If you would have asked me who I thought would win the NFC East this year, Dallas would have been nowhere in the mix, but here they are, fighting for that top spot in the division. To no one’s surprise, Ezekiel Elliott is leading the charge for them. Zeke is second in the NFL in rushing yards, rush attempts, and RB yards from scrimmage. Leyton Vander Esch, a rookie from Boise State, has filled the shoes of Sean Lee during his injury and has looked like a pro bowl LB, which is crazy because the guy played 8 man football in high school! For the Skins, Adrian Peterson has revived his career. He has the seventh most rushing yards in the NFL, and with the injury to Alex Smith, I think it’s safe to say that he’ll be getting even more touches now. The Redskins defense has carried them to where they’re at now, but I don’t think it’s good enough yet to take them to the playoffs.

My Prediction: Zeke has another big day and runs for 125 and two TDs and continues to be fed, as he’ll be the guy eating the turkey leg at the end of the game.

DAL 26- WAS 24

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
The Saints just deuced on the defending Super Bowl champs last week. The Falcons however got defeated by the Dallas Cowboys. What is the cause of the Falcons up-and-down season? Their weak defense. The Falcons defense has allowed the 4th most yards per game and the 4th most points per game. Matt Ryan has been playing well but has made mistakes at very costly times. I don’t think this defense has the ability to slow the best team in football.

My Prediction: The Saints continue to plow forward as they make their push for the #1 seed in the NFC. Drew Brees will have a big day throwing 3 td’s including 1 to Alvin Kamara who will also have a rushing touchdown. MVP candidate Drew Brees will be chowing on Thanksgivings final turkey leg!

NO 38 – ATL 31

This game has the potential to be an offensive shootout and it also has the potential to be a repeat of the Saints-Eagles game from last week. Drew Brees is having the best season of his career so far. He has the highest completion percentage ever through 11 weeks. He’s sixth in the league in passing yards (only 36 yards shy of 3,000), has 25 TDs, and the highest passer rating in the NFL (126.9). There isn’t a defense that can stop him and I’m beginning to think that there isn’t an offense that can outscore them. The Falcons offense has been without star Devonte Freeman all season, leaving that gap to be filled by Tevin Coleman. Matt Ryan has the fifth highest passer rating this season at 111.5, the second highest completion percentage (71.1%), and the third most yards (3306).

My Prediction: I look for Drew Brees to have continued success in the air. Michael Thomas goes for over 100 and a score, Julio Jones goes for over 100 and a score himself, but the Saints march on to victory and Brees will be munching on a turkey leg post game.

NO 38- ATL 20

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Sunday Noon Games
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
The battle of 3-7. The Jaguars are one of this season’s biggest busts, and the Bills offense has been plagued by injuries. The Jaguars defense has been getting the job done this season, they’re top 10 in almost every defensive category. The Bills defense is even better, allowing the 2nd fewest yards per game.  Both offenses have struggled and have very suspect Quarterback play. Josh Allen will get the start this week for the first time since week 6. Despite only playing in 6 games Josh Allen has been sacked 21 times, which is tied for 11th most in the league. This game will boil down to who can run the ball the best.

My Prediction: Jaguars win thanks to hard running by Leonard Fournette and TJ Yeldon. Jaguars rush for 150 yards and 2 TDs.

JAX 20 – BUF 13

The Jags look to be a one-year wonder, falling to 3-7 on the year. The Bills, to the surprise of many, have also won three games. Jacksonville is finally seeing Leonard Fournette healthy and playing again, which has been a huge step in the right direction for them. The Bills offense has been atrocious this season, only scoring 137 points, which is last in the league. Quarterbacks for the Bills have thrown for 5 TDs and 16 INTs (chalk those numbers up to Nathan Peterman). The only bright spot for this offense is that they currently rank 7th in rushing yards on the season as a team.
My Prediction: This game is difficult to predict. The Bills have shown spurts of talent but have also shown why they could get the first overall pick in the draft. Fournette has 75 yards and a score, Blake Bortles has 0 turnovers and the Jags steal one.

JAX 19- BUF 13

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals
For the first time in a long time the Browns are not a guaranteed win for opposing teams. Baker Mayfield has the highest QBR of all the rookie quarterbacks. He’s quickly showing why he was the first quarterback selected. The Bengals lost a close game in Baltimore last week dropping to 5-5 which makes their trip to the playoffs a tricky one. 5 teams in the AFC are 5-5 looking to take a that final wildcard spot. The Bengals will be without AJ Green this weekend which is a huge blow. With former head coach Hue Jackson signing with the Bengals the Browns have a little extra motivation heading into this one.

My Prediction: This should be a pretty decent game, but what it will come down to is who can hang on to the ball on offense.

CLE 27 – CIN 21

Divisional games are always tough to pick, and this week features another tough divisional matchup. The Browns are on their way up. They’re by no means there yet, but they’re getting there. The emergence of Nick Chubb has really helped shape their offense. He averages 6.2 yards per carry and has six runs of 20+ yards, including a 92 yard score against Atlanta during their week 10 win. The Bengals started the year hot and have cooled down significantly since then. AJ Green has been injured and their offensive productivity has slowed down quite a bit without him.

My Prediction: Cleveland rocks in this game and they continue to pound the ball. Nick Chubb goes for over 100 and two TDs, Baker Mayfield completes 70% of his passes on their way to a win.

CLE 27 – CIN 20

New England Patriots @ New York Jets
The Patriots are still in the race for the #2 seed in the AFC. New England has a top ten offense averaging 28 points per game, which is 7th in the league. The New York Jets on the other hand have one of the worst offenses in the league. Jets rookie QB Sam Darnold is not expected to play this weekend after missing their week 10 matchup against the Bills. Darnold has a QBR of 68.3 and has thrown for an average of 214 yards per game. Josh McCown will start in his absence. McCown played against the Bills and threw for 135 yards and 2 interceptions in his only start this season. The stats all point towards New England winning this game.

My Prediction: Tom Brady gets back on track after the bye week and throws for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Jets will score, but not through the air, their only points will come on the ground or through field goals.

NE 31 – NYJ 20

Tom Brady has not had a good season statistically. He’s outside of the top 10 in yards, touchdowns, passer rating, and completion percentage. They’re still 7-3, and you can chalk that up to solid coaching. The Jets have looked like everyone expected them to look this year, like a 3-7 team. They have a quality win against the Colts, but their last game (week 10 against Buffalo) was atrocious. Sam Darnold is questionable this week and veteran QB Josh McCown will certainly be ready to go if Darnold is unable to play.
My Prediction: The Patriots continue to roll. James White has 7 receptions out of the backfield for 80 yards and a TD.

NE 24- NYJ 13

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are making a fool of themselves and their fans. They are currently writing the script for “The hangover 4.” It’s embarrassing. Injuries have hurt this team, but that is no excuse for the way they’ve been playing. Jim Schwartz and Mike Groh need to be replaced. My vote is to promote Duce Staley to Offensive Coordinator. Also, Josh Adams needs more than 7 carries a game, he averages over 6 yards per rush. Anyways the Giants have been heating up recently, and last time these two played Saquon Barkley rushed for 130 yards and a touchdown. The Giants offensive line has finally started blocking and Eli has been able to throw the ball down field. In his last 4 games Eli has thrown for 1,134 yards and a QBR of 113.2. This game is not looking good for the struggling Eagles secondary.

My Prediction: Odell and Saquon both have big days with over 100 yards and a touchdown. My birds could be 0-10 playing the best team in the league and I still wouldn’t pick against them, that’s just bad juju.

PHI 27 – NYG 24

The G-Men are currently riding a two game winning streak and look to continue their winning ways as they go to Philly to play the Eagles. This is another tough divisional game to predict. Carson Wentz is having a great season thus far, even though their record may not show it. Issues at CB have really plagued this Philly team. For the Giants, Saquon Barkley is a lock for OROY. He’s third in RBs for yards from scrimmage and second in RB receiving yards. He’s the heart and soul of that team. OBJ has had success in the last couple weeks as well and has favorable matchups against these weak Eagles cornerbacks.

My Prediction: The Giants stun the Eagles at home. Saquon has 150 yards total from scrimmage, OBJ has 100 in the air and The Giants improve to 4-7.

NYG 31 – PHI 24

San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have had a very weird season, starting out the were the best offense in the league. Now they suck. Their mismanaged quarterback situation has led to them losing 7 of their last 8 games. 49ers rookie QB Nick Mullens has taken the league by storm. The Buccaneers have one of the worst defenses in the league and allow the most yards through the air out of any other team. Nick Mullens and Greg Kittle are licking their chops heading into this game. Can this Tampa Bay defense rise to the occasion and slow down this 49ers offense?

My Prediction: Nick Mullens tears apart the Tampa Bay secondary and throws 3 touchdowns to 3 different receivers. This should be a high scoring game.

SF 34 – TB 31

The Buccaneers are coming off a close loss to The Giants where they put up 35 and still lost. Unfortunately for them, they also lost OJ Howard for the rest of the season. The 49ers are coming off a bye week and have had time to prepare. Rookie QB Nick Mullens has looked sharp in his two starts, and after seeing what Eli Manning did to the Bucs secondary, I think he’ll be trying to do the same. Matt Breida has averaged 5.6 yards per carry on the ground this year. It looks like Jameis Winston will be starting this week for the Bucs, which I believe will ultimately be their downfall.

My Prediction: Kittle has two receptions but one will be for a TD of 40+ yards. Breida has 100 on the ground and a score and the 49ers take this one.

SF 27- TB 17

Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers
The Seahawks have been a surprising team this season. After all the players they lost to the free agency and to injury no one expected the Seahawks to win many games. Rookie runningback Chris Carson has been a glimmer of hope in a dark time for their offense. Russell Wilson has continued to prove people wrong and makes defenses look silly. Carolina lost a tough one last week to Detroit, but has a very strong season otherwise. Christian McCaffery has been unbelievable this season both on the ground and through the air. This should be a very good game all the way down to the wire.

My Prediction: The Panthers scrape together a win at home to stay ahead in the NFC wildcard race. McCaffery has 2 TDS on through th air and one on the ground.

CAR 31 – SEA 27

The Seahawks have impressed NFL fans across the country this year. They were expected to be a sub-.500 team but continue to make a hard charge for the playoffs. After taking down Green Bay last week, I finally realized that they’re legit. Russell Wilson has the second highest passer rating in NFL history. Their run game has been phenomenal this season. Their last two losses came against the Chargers and the Rams, both very close games. Meanwhile, the Panthers have lost two in a row. Cam Newton is having a solid year with 20 passing TDs and a 68.4% completion rating. Christian McCaffery has had a stellar year out of the backfield as a receiver, with 60 catches for nearly 500 yards.

My Prediction: The Panthers continue to skid, losing their third straight. Russell Wilson throws for 300 and two scores.

SEA 30- CAR 28

Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens
Derek Carr is the best player on the Raiders and he stinks. Ravens win by 100.

My Prediction: The Ravens use this game to build Lamar Jacksons confidence through the air. Jackson will throw for 2 TD’s and run in another.

As will be the theme, I will always keep Oakland’s talks short. They lose again.
Lamar Jackson has his way with the Raiders D and throws for 250, runs for 75.

BAL 30- OAK 10

Arizona Cardinals @ Las Angeles Chargers
We’ll keep this one short. The Chargers are good the Cardinals are not. Josh Rosen has been slightly disappointing this season. Philip Rivers will not let his first shot at a playoff spot in many years slip through his fingers.

My Prediction: The Chargers win handsomely in an effort to grab a wildcard spot in the AFC. Philip Rivers throws for 300 yards and 2 touchdowns.

LAC 30 – ARI 17

The Chargers are coming off a loss against Denver that I definitely did not see coming, but almost more surprisingly, the Cards are coming off a loss against Oakland. Philip Rivers is having a great season so far. Keenan Allen is finally starting to produce, Melvin Gordon is having a pro bowl year, and things are looking up for the Bolts. The Cards cannot say the same. Rookie QB John Rosen told the world he would show the 9 teams that passed on him why it was a huge mistake and I think they’re all still waiting to see that happen. Two weeks ago, Larry Fitzgerald passed Terrell Owens for the second all-time spot in receiving yards. I hope to see more of that success this week.
My Prediction: The Chargers get back on the winning path and Melvin Gordon has one of his best games of the season. 175 yards from scrimmage and two scores.

LAC 31- ARI 24

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Sunday 3:00 Games
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
Don’t be fooled by the Broncos beating the Chargers last week. The Steelers are steam rolling through the AFC and have not missed a beat. There’s no doubt in my mind the Steelers will win this game. James Conner is the reason we haven’t seen Bell this year. He has scored 11 times and is 4th in the league in rushing yards. This offense is a lot to handle and I don’t think the Broncos are up to the task.

My Prediction: The Steelers offense rumbles past the Broncos. Conner and Brown both score, and Big Ben throws for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns.

PIT 31 – DEN 23

The Steelers are the hottest team in the AFC right now (even more than the Chiefs) and are looking to try for home field advantage in the playoffs. Antonio Brown has had a great season so far, with 11 TDs through 10 games this year, which is currently a league high. James Conner has stepped into the RB1 slot left open by Le’Veon Bell and has performed extremely well. Conner is 4th in rushing yards, 4th in attempts, has 10 TDs, and is 4th in yards from scrimmage. Denver’s Peyton Lindsay is currently 8th in rushing yards with 670 on the year. Case Keenum led this Broncos team to a W last week against the Chargers, but I don’t think they can pull off two giant upsets in a row.
My Prediction: The Steelers continue to roll. AB has 100 yards and another TD.

PIT 31- DEN 20

Indianapolis Colts @ Miami Dolphins
There’s not much to say here. The Colts have been pounding on all cylinders and Andrew Luck has been playing his best football. The Dolphins have been struggling after starting 3-0. Colts all day.

My Prediction: Andrew Luck throws 3 TD’s for 300 yards. Ebron, Hilton, and Doyle haul in the Colts touchdowns.

IND 30 – MIA 17

The Colts are currently riding a 4 game win streak and I couldn’t be happier about that. They’re facing a Dolphins team that is 5-5 and coming off a bye week. Ryan Tannehill will be under center for the first time in six weeks. Andrew Luck is the reigning AFC offensive player of the week and has thrown for 3+ TDs in 7 straight games. He also hasn’t been sacked in 5 straight games, as the newly stacked Colts O-Line led by Quentin Nelson has dominated defenses. Darius Leonard continues to lead the league in tackles and I look for the Maniac to have another big defensive day.

My Prediction: Andrew Luck makes it 8 straight with 3+ passing TDs, Mack adds a score and the Colts continue their winning ways as they make a push for the playoffs.

IND 34- MIA 20

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Sunday Night Football
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
It’s desperation time for the Minnesota Vikings. A loss last week to the Bears has the Vikings in need of a wild card spot. A loss today could prove fateful to the Vikings who signed Kirk Cousins to a Super Bowl or bust contract. You can see in Aaron Rodgers face that he has basically given up on this season. I don’t think the Packers have enough to slow these Vikings down at home. The long and short of it is effort. The Vikings have everything to gain from winning this game, and I don’t think the Packers really care anymore.

My Prediction: The Vikings get back on track with a big divisional win. The Vikings defense will be the highlight of this game.

MIN 27 – GB 24

The last time these two teams met, they tied. This time, it’s in Minnesota, where the Vikings look to try to stay in the NFC North Divisional hunt. Green Bay is coming off a tough loss to a good Seattle team and the Vikes are coming off a tough loss to a good Bears team. Aaron Jones leads all RBs in yards per carry at 6.4 yards per attempt. Aaron Rodgers is 5th in the NFL in passing yards (3,073) and is in the top 10 in passer rating (102.2). Kirk Cousins has completed 70.7% of his passes and thrown for 2,947 yards. The matchup I’m looking forward to in this one is the Vikings defensive line against the Packers offensive line.

My Prediction: Green Bay somehow manages to pull this one off with a game winning TD with less than a minute to go despite Cousins throwing for 325+.

GB 30- MIN 27

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Monday Night Football
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
This is the game I am looking forward to watching the most. This game affects the entire AFC not just the AFC South. The Titans got violated by the Colts last week and have had their fair share of struggles this year. The Texans have hit stride winning 7 straight games. Their offense has been rolling. DeAndre Hopkins is the most talented wide receiver in the league. I don’t think the Titans offense has the ability to keep up with the Texans.

My Prediction: The Texans keep rolling with a big divisional win at home. Hopkins catches a touchdown of 30 + yards and Miller runs one in.

Monday night features an AFC South matchup that looks to be one of the best games of the week. The Titans were hot until last week when Indy put out that flame, and Houston is the only team in NFL history to win 7 straight after losing their first three games. Deshaun Watson has finally found the success he had from last year, although he did throw two INTs against Washington last week in a very close win. Marcus Mariota has thrown for a 67.6% completion percentage, which is higher than Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady.

My Prediction: This one will be a close one, but the edge goes to Houston. JJ Watt sacks Mariota twice, DeAndre Hopkins goes for over 100 and a score, and the Texans win their eighth straight.

HOU 27- TEN 20

We have the right to update the article up until the start of each game!

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https://nflpickwatch.com/

http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=2&offensiveStatisticCategory=GAME_STATS&conference=ALL&role=TM&season=2018&seasonType=REG&d-447263-s=TOTAL_YARDS_GAME_AVG&d-447263-o=2&d-447263-n=1

https://www.nfl.com/standings

https://www.tablotv.com/blog/cord-cutters-guide-thanksgiving-day-2018-football/

https://www.touchdownactu.com/186845/patriots-jaguars-24-20-encore-un-comeback-pour-tom-brady/

https://heavy.com/sports/2015/10/andrew-luck-colts-injury-shoulder-update-status-nfl-texans-week-five-nfl/

https://www.clickondetroit.com/sports/nfl/how-to-stream-minnesota-vikings-vs-green-bay-packers-game-free-online

https://www.sbnation.com/2017/9/15/16310412/deshaun-watson-texans-bengals-week-2

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