On the Record: Week 10 Game Predictions

On the Record: Week 10 Game Predictions

Welcome to Week 10’s addition of On the Record with Ian and Cameron! We want to take a second to wish all service members, active and retired, a very happy Veterans Day! As soldier ourselves we understand your sacrifice and are truly grateful for everything you do! Thank you for your service!

Back to football. At this point in the season every team has played at least half of their games. The top Super Bowl contenders have emerged, and so have this season’s busts. Last week there were a lot of tough games to pick, but Cameron went 11-2. That brings his picks this season to 86-46-2, which gives him an average of .641. Ian, however, did not have such a great week posting his worst record since Week 5, going 8-5. That brings his yearly total to 92-40-2 and an average of .686. For comparison here are the statistics from the top “NFL Experts”:

Dave Richard – CBS 93-39-2
Mike Clay – ESPN 88-44-2
Elliot Harrison – NFL 93-39-2
Nathan Jahnke – PFF 90-42-2

Our Game Changer Sports Network Experts are keeping up with the best in the business.  It’s time to look forward to week 10. As the playoff window begins to close on some teams the pressure to win is high. This week we continue to see high amounts of divisional games and a must-watch game on Monday Night. So, what do we have to expect here in week 10? Let’s take a look. Ian’s making his picks first this week, let’s see how our Game Changer Sports Network Experts pick this week.

Thursday Night Football

Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

“Here we go…” – The Joker. This is the best Thursday night football game we’ve seen in weeks. Carolina and Pittsburgh have both come into their own, proving they both are serious candidates to play in their respective conference title games. A possible Super Bowl preview? Pump the brakes Ron Burgundy. Both teams have shown weaknesses. The Steelers have managed without Bell and Conner has played great, but how long can he preform at this high of a level. It’s only a matter of time before one of these teams fall off, but when?

My Prediction: Mistakes on both sides of the ball will cost Carolina this W. I expect this high-powered Steelers offense to roll over the Panthers.
PIT 38 CAR 24

Thursday night games tend to be very offense heavy with games averaging over 52 points scored combined per game. Both teams are on hot streaks and have really found their rhythm at this point in the season. I look for RBs to play a big role in this game for both the Steelers and the Panthers.

With the news that Le’Veon Bell will not be required to report this year to become an unrestricted free agent, fantasy owners who picked up James Conner (like myself) now can let out a sigh of relief that their teams won’t tank this close to the end of the year. Conner will be the player of the game.

My Prediction: Steelers 38, Panthers 34

Patrick M.jpg

Sunday 12pm Games

Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs get an additional rest before their clash with the Rams next week. The Chiefs have scored more points than any other team in the league with 327. They also rank 3rd in the league in total offense. The Cardinals (2-6) have had a long and disappointing season.

Rookie Josh Rosen has been disappointing as well, having thrown just 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. His average QBR of 69.9 is 31st in the league which is cause for concern. The Chiefs are undefeated at home and I don’t expect that to change this week.

My Prediction: I expect the Chiefs to strike hard early and score the bulk of their points in the first half. In doing so I expect the Chiefs to rest some starters in preparation for their potential Super Bowl Preview next week against the Rams.

KC 27 – ARI 17

The Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL with MVP candidate Patrick Mahomes leading the charge at home against one of the worst teams in football. There is just too much talent for Kansas City and not enough talent in Arizona to make this not an absolute lock for the week. Look for Tyreek Hill to be an even bigger target with the possibility of Sammy Watkins not playing.

My Prediction: Chiefs 42, Cardinals 13

Washington Redskins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Redskins sit at the top of the NFC East, but can Fitz-magic take them down a peg? The Redskins have only beat 1 team with a winning record (Carolina). Tampa Bay currently sits at 3-5 but could be 6-2 if they had properly managed their quarterback situation. The Buccaneers defense is one of the worst in the league, allowing the most points per game and the 3rd most passing yards per game. Luckily for them, the Redskins have the 25th ranked scoring offense.  Ryan Fitzpatrick has a QBR of 112.9 and is going up against a revamped Redskins secondary which ranks 20th allowing 254 passing yards per game.

My Prediction: Tampa Bay wins at home despite giving up over 20 points. Alex smith will pass for a season high 320 yards, but it won’t be enough to stop the Buccaneers.

TB 34 – WAS 23

This game should be one of the more interesting ones to follow this week. Washington is coming off a loss but still leading the NFC East, and Fitzmagic is back and ready to hit those deep targets like he did in the first few weeks of the season.

That being said, this newly bolstered Redskins secondary, with the addition of Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix, has all-pro level talent all around. I think that the Buccaneers tight ends will be the deciding factor in this one.

My Prediction: Redskins 24, Buccaneers 23

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets

In 2018 what is one thing we know for sure? All teams from the state of New York suck, New York is 6-20 making them the new Ohio. These garbage games are particularly hard to pick because both teams are so bad. Sam Darnold 45th and Nathan Peterman 53rd are the 2 worst ranked QBs in the league. I had to click onto the 2nd page of QBs to find Petermans ranking.

Despite the rankings, at least the Jets score points. The Bills rank dead last in points per game, averaging 10 PPG. I don’t know which direction to go in this game because the quarterbacking situation for both teams is so unclear. Josh Allen and Derek Anderson are both questionable to play and Sam Darnold is out with any injury.

My Prediction: I believe the Jets will win despite the loss of Sam Darnold. Josh McCown is a game manager and that’s all it will take to stop the Bills.

NYJ 23 – BUF 13

My first reaction to this game was that the Jets have no chance without their starting quarterback, but then I remembered that Josh McCown led last year’s team to five wins when many thought they couldn’t win a single game. The Bills have been a huge hit-or-miss team, blowing out the Vikings but then getting lit up for almost 40 by Indianapolis.

If Tre’davious White and company can shut down the beaten and bruised receiving corps for New York, they’ll have a good day. If not, look for those Jets to steal the Toilet Bowl of week 10.

My Prediction: Jets 17, Bills 13

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

Will the Bears be able to hold off the rest of the NFC North? With 5 divisional games yet to be played the NFC North is up for grabs. Detroit has been struggling as of late dropping their last 2 games. Chicago is the 5th ranked scoring offense and the allow the 4th fewest points per game. A week after allowing 10 sacks this Lions offense will face a well-rested Khalil Mack and the rest of the Bears defense. A defense which as forced 28 turnovers and scored have scored more defensive touchdowns than any other team in the league.

My Prediction: Da Bears continue to roll and hold this Lions team to less than 20 points. This Bears defense will create 3 turnovers and hold Matthew Stafford to less than 200 yards passing

CHI 27 – DET 17

This NFC North showdown should be an exciting one. The Bears defense has been ferocious this year and Matt Stafford was sacked 10 times against the Vikings.

Look for the Bears to be aggressive on the blitz and for a lot of short routes and quick passes by the Lions to help keep Stafford on his feet. Mitch Trubisky is making strides in year two and I think we’ll continue to see his progress against the Lions.

My Prediction: Bears 27, Lions 20

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts

Another divisional battle in this exciting Week 10. The Colts have finally turned things around and the offensive line has actually decided to block. The Jaguars have proven last year was a FLUKE. Andrew Luck is on fire and shows no sign of slowing down.

Call me bold or even stupid but I believe the Colts are the best team in the AFC South and maybe even a playoff contender. Can anyone stop these Colts Tight Ends? Maybe, but probably not. The Jaguars ae looking more and more like cute kittens than a fierce jungle cat.

My Prediction: The Colts MAKE A STATEMENT in this one attacking the middle of the field with their extremely talented Tight Ends. Colts TE’s will score 3 touchdowns crushing all playoff hopes for the Jags.

IND 30 – JAX 17

As a huge Colts fan, it’s always hard to pick against them. This week becomes even more difficult; they’re fresh off a bye and riding a two-game win streak. Luck is healthy and slinging passes at a record rate. Their defense has a completely new look and attitude this year. Darius Leonard is a ROY candidate.

The Jaguars have not looked very good at all this year. Bortles was benched in the middle of a game; their defense hasn’t been the aggressive one we’ve all known. I don’t want to get my hopes up, but I have confidence in the Colts.

My Prediction: Colts 31, Jags 27

New Orleans Saints @ Cincinnati Bengals

Who Dat? The best team in the league that’s who! Last week this Saints team defeated the last unbeaten team in the league. The Saints offense is one of the best in the league and they can score a hundred different ways.

PKamara, Ingram, Bryant, Thomas, Hill, Watson, Gin, etc. The Bengal started out hot, but the loss of AJ Green will prove fatal to an offense that has struggled as of late. There’s no doubt in my mind the Saints will prove they deserve the #1 rank.

My Prediction: The Saints bury the Bengals early scoring 2 touchdowns and a field goal in the first quarter. The Bengals will move further back in the AFC North.

NO 34 – CIN 20

The Saints are arguably the best team in the NFL and coming off a huge win against the Rams. The Bengals are playing without their best player in AJ Green. The Bengals were off to a great start to the season and I kept picking against them, which ended up coming back to wreck my pick percentages. I don’t think the Bengals have enough firepower to keep up with the stacked Saints offense.

My Prediction: Saints 34, Bengals 17

New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans

Week 10 and the Patriots have already clinched the AFC East. Just kidding, not really. The Patriots have won 6 in a row and Tom Brady is looking solid. The Titans have not beaten a team with a winning record. This will be a decent game, but at the end of the day it’s the GOAT we’re talking about here. The Titans have not faced a team like this and it will be a real reality check for them.

My Prediction: The Patriots may take some time to get going maybe even fall behind a score, but Tom Brady will not stagger. He will however throw for 250 yards and 2 touchdowns.

NE 31 – TEN 20

This game might be closer than many people think. The Titans defense looked solid against Dallas on Monday night. They played aggressively and held Dallas to 14 points. Mariota showed a lot of improvement and made some great decisions with the ball. He still has a lot of growing to do, but he’s starting to come into starting QB form now. However, he Patriots played a marquee game against the Packers on Sunday and will continue their winning streak.

My Prediction: Patriots 30, Titans 17

Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns

A bout between 2 teams who will miss the playoffs. Yeah, I said it. Matt Ryan has not been the same since losing to the Patriots in the Super Bowl. Honestly, I could see this game going either way.

The Browns defense is playing unbelievable football, but the offense is not. With a new offensive coordinator and a new head coach it will be hard for Cleveland to pull this off against a desperate Falcons team.

My Prediction: The Falcons will scrape together a tough win in Cleveland. Julio Jones will score his 2nd TD of the year.

ATL 23 – CLE 17

The Browns just aren’t there yet. With a new head coach and a new OC against a Falcons team that has a lot of potential to go off on any given game day, I don’t think there will be much of a contest. I always like to root for the underdog but not when my pick percentage relies on it.

My Prediction: Falcons 31, Browns 14

todd gurely running past seahawks.jpg

Sunday 3pm Games

Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

On one hand you have the worst team in the league who just got whooped by a practice squad QB, and on the other you have… well it doesn’t matter what you have, this Raider team is THAT bad.

My Prediction: Charger walk in and out of Oakland without breaking a sweat.

LAC 27 – OAK 13

I’ll keep this one short and sweet. The Chargers are good. The Raiders could get beat by the Alabama Crimson Tide. They are that bad.

My Prediction: Chargers 35, Raiders 10

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams

By some minor miracle, the Seattle Seahawks have managed to remain competitive despite all their misfortune. Everything considered whatever Seahawks fans remain should be happy with the team this year. LA Rams fans are flying high, one has even gotten a SB 53 tattoo. Rightfully so they’re a great team with one of the best offenses in the league. The Seahawks are good, but the Rams are great.

My Prediction: The LA Rams defeat the Seahawks by running the ball over and over and over again. Todd Gurley will have another 2-touchdown game with 100 yards rushing and 50 yards receiving.

LAR 27 – SEA 17

Many experts counted out the Seahawks at the start of the season, but they’ve shown signs of life all throughout the season. Chris Carson has given them somewhat of a running game that isn’t Russell Wilson. Their defense, once thought to be broken and helpless without most of the Legion of Boom, has done a solid job holding their own.

I don’t think they have the personnel to match up with the Rams high powered offense, especially coming off a loss against the Saints. Gurley extends his games scored streak to 13 in a row and the Rams roll on.

My Prediction: Rams 34, Seahawks 20

Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers

It’s expected to be a cold day Sunday in Green Bay with a chance of snow. Why does that matter? Lets think about where Brock Osweiler has played: Denver, Houston, and Miami. So, how will he fair in the cold? My guess is not well. Osweiler has been playing good football recently but he’s not good enough to go toe-to-toe with Aaron Rodgers. This will probably be a low scoring game considering the weather.

The Packers chances of making the playoffs are slim, but if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive they need this win.

My Prediction: Aaron Rodgers takes control of this game, and Aaron Jones has one of his best games to date with 100+ yards and a score or 2.

GB 24 – MIA 17

The Dolphins started out as one of the hottest teams in the league, but they have since cooled quite a bit (2-4 in their last six games). Brock Osweiler has been slinging passes for them while their running game has played well in the last couple of games. Their defense has averaged two takeaways per game thus far this year, but has allowed over 135 rushing yards per game.

The Packers have averaged 4.8 yards per carry this year. The difference maker to me is Aaron Rodgers; he has been one of the most efficient QBs in NFL history and will continue to shine this weekend. I think Rodgers is going to have a big day for fantasy owners with 350 yards and 3 TDs in a big win against the Dolphins, keeping the Packers’ playoff hopes alive

Prediction: Packers 31, Dolphins 20

Wentz and Dak.jpg

Sunday Night Football

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
I’m an Eagles fan so I’ll keep this brief. There is no way the Cowgirls will beat my birds at home. The DEFENDING SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS will be wearing all black for the first time this season. Last year in all Black the Eagles went 2-0 scoring 50+ points on the Broncos.

Myself Prediction: Carson Wentz throws 3 TDs including a deep ball of 30+ yards to newly acquired WR Golden Tate! GO BIRDS!

PHI 31 – DAL 10

This game should be another good one to watch. These two division rivals get really heated when they play each other. The Cowboys have some issues that need to be addressed; Dak Prescott had a rough game against Tennessee, Sean Lee won’t be playing and without him, their centerpiece of that defense, they will struggle.

The Eagles are coming off a bye week and have had time to rest up and game plan for this huge game. I think Wentz will have a solid day and continue his success this year.

My Prediction: Eagles 20, Cowboys 9

Nick fucking mullens

Monday Night Football

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
Yawn. I was hoping this game would get scratched to a 12 o’clock Sunday game, but here we are. Who is this Nick Mullens guy and why do I love him? His passer rating of over 150 last week against is one of the best by a QB in his first start EVER.

The Giants stink, but one silver lining is Saquon Barkley. Barkley will likely win ROTY and looks to be the leader of this Giants team. However, running backs cannot win games on their own.

My Prediction: Despite Barkley’s efforts Nick Mullens starts his career 2-0 with another big game against a Giants team that recently suffered the loss of their best corners.

SF 27 – NYG 20

This game is another one that should be interesting and is hard to pick. The 49ers dismantled Oakland on Thursday night last week with a practice squad QB. Saquon Barkley is an animal and will most likely be the offensive ROY.

With the Giants trading Eli Apple to the Saints, their secondary took a step back. Marquise Goodwin has had a quiet year with an injury limiting him in the beginning of the season, but I think he’s going to have a big week.

My Prediction: 49ers 21, Giants 13

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